WRITING SYSTEMS / OPTIMISATION
LABOUR / SYSTEMS / INSTITUTIONS

BRITAIN’S SUBSTITUTE WORKFORCE

When flexibility stopped filling the gaps and became the system.

PERMANENT FLEXIBLE
WORKFORCE TRANSITION
THE QUESTION

Britain has not simply developed a problem with zero-hours contracts.

Over decades, a much broader employment model has emerged: when a profession becomes expensive, difficult to recruit into or difficult to retain, Britain increasingly finds another way of delivering the work.

PERMANENT TEMPORARY
DIRECT AGENCY
CAREER ASSIGNMENT

Permanent becomes temporary.

Direct employment becomes agency.

Qualified roles are supplemented by new grades of worker.

Experienced professionals leave and are bought back through banks, agencies or contracting arrangements.

The individual changes can all be defended. The question is what happens when you put them all together.

THE OPENING FIGURE NHS / 2024–25
£6.53bn

BANK STAFF

£2.07bn

AGENCY STAFF

£8.60bn

COMBINED

Agency expenditure has actually been falling — NHS England says it has dropped by roughly £1.4 billion from 2022/23 — which is important because we shouldn’t pretend the trend is still moving in one direction.

But £8.6 billion of temporary staffing expenditure in a single year gives us the question:

How did temporary labour become such an enormous component of a permanent national institution?
HEALTHCARE / ROLE SUBSTITUTION

Doctors / Physician Associates

This is the controversial example.

Physician Associates are not doctors, but they are regulated healthcare professionals. The issue isn’t that Britain has literally employed thousands of people pretending to be doctors.

The issue is role substitution and scope.

As of December 2025, the GMC had registered:

3,836 PHYSICIAN ASSOCIATES
183 ANAESTHESIA ASSOCIATES

The GMC expected roughly another 1,000 newly qualified PAs and AAs during 2026.

Why was Britain expanding an entirely new clinical workforce while simultaneously struggling to train, recruit and retain enough doctors?

Then examine training length, permitted responsibilities, supervision, patient identification, cost and where PAs were actually being deployed.

Not an attack on PAs themselves.

An examination of the system that created the demand for the role.

EDUCATION / CLASSROOM WORKFORCE

Teachers / The Classroom Workforce

England had approximately 468,300 FTE teachers working in state-funded schools in November 2024.

About 97% held Qualified Teacher Status.

≈14,000 FTE TEACHERS WITHOUT QTS

That still leaves roughly 3% without QTS — around 14,000 FTE teachers, although the exact calculation and categories need explaining rather than simply calling all of them “unqualified teachers.”

Then add the wider classroom workforce:

TEACHING ASSISTANTS COVER SUPERVISORS SUPPLY TEACHERS AGENCY STAFF INSTRUCTORS

Again, these roles aren’t inherently bad.

Are they supporting the qualified profession — or increasingly compensating for Britain’s inability to retain enough of it?

That’s the recurring test throughout the article.

NHS / TEMPORARY LABOUR

Permanent / Bank / Agency

This is where the argument becomes particularly powerful.

NHS England itself says moving temporary staffing towards substantive staffing produces financial benefits.

Yet in 2024/25:

TOTAL PROVIDER EMPLOYEE EXPENSES £93.62bn
BANK £6.53bn
AGENCY £2.07bn

So approximately £1 in every £11 of provider employee expenditure was going through bank and agency staffing.

The institution requires the labour regardless.

Why are we purchasing so much of a permanent requirement through temporary mechanisms?
LABOUR MARKET / TEMPORARY EMPLOYMENT

The Rest of the Labour Market

Then zoom out.

ONS figures show approximately 1.56 million temporary employees in the UK in January–March 2025.

1.56m TEMPORARY EMPLOYEES
385k COULD NOT FIND PERMANENT WORK

Around 385,000 said they were temporary because they could not find a permanent job.

That’s roughly one quarter of temporary employees in that period.

That’s important because it challenges the language of choice and flexibility.

Some people genuinely want temporary employment.

Hundreds of thousands don’t.

CONSTRUCTION / CONTRACTING

Construction

Construction gives us:

01 PERMANENT EMPLOYEE
02 SUBCONTRACTOR
03 LABOUR-ONLY SUBCONTRACTOR
04 AGENCY OPERATIVE
05 UMBRELLA ARRANGEMENT
06 SELF-EMPLOYED SPECIALIST

None is automatically illegitimate.

In fact, genuinely temporary project work requires flexible labour.

THE DISTINCTION

Contingency labour versus structural labour.

If I need somebody for six weeks because I’ve won an unusual contract, that’s contingency.

If I’ve needed somebody every Monday to Friday for three years, but they’re still technically temporary, something different is happening.

That becomes one of the article’s strongest ideas.

HIGHER EDUCATION / CASUALISATION

Universities

Then move upwards professionally.

HOURLY-PAID LECTURERS FIXED-TERM RESEARCHERS TEACHING-ONLY CONTRACTS VISITING LECTURERS POSTDOCTORAL RESEARCHERS

This matters because it destroys the assumption that precarious work is simply something affecting Deliveroo riders, warehouse workers and hospitality staff.

You can spend years acquiring specialist qualifications and still arrive in a labour market built around temporary employment.
SOCIAL CARE / PERMANENT DEMAND

Social Care

And then perhaps the bleakest example.

An essential service.

An ageing population.

Permanent demand.

But a workforce historically characterised by relatively low pay, turnover, vacancies, fragmented private providers and agency labour.

How can the need be permanent while the workforce providing it remains precarious?
SYSTEM MAP THE SUBSTITUTE LADDER
DOCTOR PHYSICIAN ASSOCIATE
QUALIFIED TEACHER UNQUALIFIED / COVER / SUPPORT
SUBSTANTIVE NHS STAFF BANK → AGENCY
PERMANENT LECTURER FIXED TERM → HOURLY PAID
DIRECTLY EMPLOYED WORKER SUBCONTRACTOR → AGENCY → UMBRELLA
SAME NEED. DIFFERENT EMPLOYMENT RELATIONSHIP.

Supplementation is not automatically substitution. The question is whether alternative roles are supporting a stable professional workforce or becoming the mechanism through which persistent shortages are managed.

THE BIGGER ARGUMENT

This isn’t really an article about zero-hours contracts.

It’s about labour-market architecture.

Britain has spent decades introducing flexibility into individual pieces of the economy.

Every individual change sounds reasonable:

“We need flexibility.” “We need efficiency.” “We need new routes into professions.” “We need temporary cover.” “We need to control costs.” “We need to respond to shortages.”

But eventually you have to zoom out.

Because if the hospital needs the nurse permanently…

the school needs the teacher permanently…

the university needs somebody teaching the module every year…

the care home needs carers every night…

and the construction company needs the same trades every week…

Why is so much of the workforce temporary?
SYSTEMS ANALYSIS THE FEEDBACK LOOP
POOR PERMANENT CONDITIONS
WORKERS LEAVE
VACANCIES INCREASE
TEMPORARY / ALTERNATIVE WORKFORCE EXPANDS
INSTITUTION BECOMES DEPENDENT UPON IT
MONEY + MANAGEMENT ATTENTION MANAGE THE SHORTAGE
PERMANENT PROFESSION BECOMES LESS ATTRACTIVE
MORE WORKERS LEAVE

That’s the actual article.

THE OUTCOME

Britain didn’t wake up one morning and decide to abolish professional employment.

It happened incrementally.

A temporary worker here. An agency contract there. A new supporting profession. A different employment status. A little more outsourcing. Another vacancy left open. Another experienced worker deciding contracting pays better.

Individually, almost every decision can be explained.

Collectively, they describe something much bigger:

BRITAIN DIDN’T ELIMINATE THE SKILLED JOB.

IT DISASSEMBLED IT.

And now, in sector after sector, the country is discovering that flexibility is very easy to introduce — and extraordinarily difficult to reverse.